Trade and logistics between the EU and Ukraine in the wartime period

Скорочена інформація про документ
dc.contributor.authorOleksandr Shnyrkov
dc.contributor.authorRita Zablotska
dc.contributor.authorOleksii Chugaiev
dc.date.accessioned2026-01-16T13:44:35Z
dc.date.available2026-01-16T13:44:35Z
dc.date.issued2025-07-04
dc.description.abstractThe work analyzes the transformational processes in Ukraine’s foreign trade with EU countries, as well as the interaction models between the national logistics infrastructure and international logistics corridors under the conditions of Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine. The development of a virtually new logistics structure for the export and import of goods, including those from third countries, became necessary. Ukraine continued to reform its transport sector during the war in accordance with its commitments under the Association Agreement with the EU. Further liberalization of trade relations between the EU and Ukraine amid the aggression contributed to maintaining and increasing exports to EU member states. Two years into the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukrainian exports to the EU were slightly below pre-war levels. However, thanks to international aid, Ukraine was able to increase its imports from the EU by more than one-third. In the pre-war period, Ukraine primarily used road, sea, and rail transport for its exports to the EU, while EU exports to Ukraine were 80% carried by road transport. During the war, the share of sea transport in Ukrainian exports decreased from 38% to 29%, which was offset by increasing shares of road and rail transport. Additionally, there was a smaller increase in the importance of rail transport for Ukrainian imports, rising from 5.7% to 9.3%, compensating for the declining shares of sea and air transport. Regression analysis showed that pre-war dominant modes of transport, logistics performance in trade partners, and their changes during the war did not significantly affect Ukraine’s trade dynamics with them in 2023 compared to 2021, after controlling for other factors. Thus, logistics for trade with the EU proved to be relatively resilient, considering the low contribution of the most affected air transport to overall trade flows, the partial restoration of sea routes after their initial collapse in 2022, further bilateral trade liberalization, international aid, and sectoral integration in transport. Rather than logistical factors, the dispersion of trade dynamics with EU member states can be more effectively explained by factors related to the value chain effect and dynamic overlapping demand effect. Specifically, Ukraine increased its exports to EU countries that were more successful in expanding their extra-EU exports. Ukraine also increased its imports primarily from member states with a relatively low development level compared to the EU average, while decreasing imports from the richest economies.
dc.identifier.issn3041-2137 (print)
dc.identifier.issn3041-2145 (online)
dc.identifier.urihttps://ir.duan.edu.ua/handle/123456789/6467
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherAlfred Nobel University
dc.subjectforeign trade
dc.subjecttrade partners
dc.subjecttrade liberalization
dc.subjectlogistic
dc.subjectRussia-Ukraine war
dc.subjectcommodity markets
dc.subjectfree trade area
dc.subjectEU member states
dc.subjectзовнішня торгівля
dc.subjectторговельні партнери
dc.subjectлібералізація торгівлі
dc.subjectлогістика
dc.subjectросійсько-українська війна
dc.subjectтоварні ринки
dc.subjectзона вільної торгівлі
dc.subjectкраїни ЄС
dc.titleTrade and logistics between the EU and Ukraine in the wartime period
dc.title.alternativeТоргівля та логістика між ЄС та Україною у воєнний період (англ. мовою)
dc.typeArticle

Файли

Контейнер файлів
Зараз показуємо 1 - 1 з 1
Ескіз
Назва:
Trade and logistics between the EU and Ukraine in the wartime period.pdf
Розмір:
461.49 KB
Формат:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Завантажити
Ліцензійна угода
Зараз показуємо 1 - 1 з 1
Ескіз недоступний
Назва:
license.txt
Розмір:
237 B
Формат:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Опис:
Завантажити

Зібрання

Academy Review